Ice Age Model This model in its physical form, and character was made with great care to include all know probability in its most simple of form. The establishment of the most probable of all the inputs i include for this simple model. Greetings all. I have been working on this theory over the last two years. A warning this is a very unconventional theory, it only came to light recently, and is related to my special study's. This will include research I have done in order to make global climate change theory possible to every reader. I have determined a need to account for the recent flurry of questions about ice ages, and Global warming. The information I will include will have as many Facts as possible for this very simple Ice age theory. Background information, define ice age. A change in climate were the northern pole, southern pole, or both begin to experience a build up of ice sheet, or snow cap for an unidentified period of time. This can relate to mini Ice age definition as well. The best I can do is relate this to observation. 'The "wiki"- definition An ice age or, more precisely, glacial age, is a generic geological period of long-term reduction in the temperature of the Earth's surface and atmosphere, resulting in the presence or expansion of continental ice sheets, polar ice sheets, and alpine glaciers.' The wiki definition is also speculative. It considered an ice age as a long term scenario. I simply excluded that premise. The basics . Q: When we describe a system effected by change, how do you determine, and go about explaining these changes in a scientific manner? Include, and determine the state of changes occurring in the system leading to a functional physical working model. My question was used to determine these factors. The methodology, I had used the axiom assuming all is true. I picked it apart piece by piece, what is left are these observations, and determinable effects. I had tested for a high degree of accuracy. All statements used for explaining changes by categorizing the fundamental laws of nature. Change was determined by cause, and effect including only what is not assumed, but instead what is widely known. Factor that are less widely known are also included, and gives answers to questions current models lack. by use of axiom assuming all statements are true, and then by testing it for truth. by using well known principles, explaining a cause for a given effect. by keeping it very simple, including self evident or well known principles. by explaining other less known causes for a given effect. Try to see this for what I show. I have a carpenters level. It has a bubble of air in the center. The level is used to show what side is up, and what side is down. The air bubble in the center shows equilibrium. How can I use this in my model that this is so in the case of our planet? How will this predict when a possible ice age will occur? let earths axis be the level plane, and if I stretched my level from north to south pole the bubble is in perfect equilibrium.. This be the implication, the earth has an up and down. Obviously Earth is not in perfect equilibrium, when it comes to cold air finding its place among the cold air in our planet system. We may then state the planet is not in perfect balance, and the bubble resides over the southern pole, rather then the equator. Do you agree? I will add to this, but if you see were I am going then, ask a question, ponder the thought.. How will that bubble then in fact shift from equilibrium? Not as hard as you may make it, but by a change in earth axial position. This would cause the bubble to shift.. do you agree? We have a northern hemisphere, and a southern. If the coldest hemisphere be the southern, than because of Antarctica having a lower temperature then the north pole. This remains true. Now I wish to cause all the cold air in the south to flow to the north. How can that be? A simple explanation. A move in axis will prove a shift in bubble, and therefore equilibrium is now in the process of shift, and change. The observable factor, and start of the age. Prediction is important. I have determined the Northern side now in a process of cold air shift. That shift will eventually find its equilibrium with the coldest air once again above the northern pole. There are many circumstances that can be related to an ice age, long term, or short term. One of these circumstances has to do with the earths temperature in relation to the evaporation rate of the oceans world wide. More evaporation, more water vapor in the atmosphere, and not in the oceans. Predictions that self verify are important. How can cloud cover effect the globe in relation to temperature rains, snow, oceanic currents, and airflow circulation in the system? In the same manner volcanic gasses may block out the sun. In the same manner if a deep impact was to occur here on earth, by causing the solar rays to be reflected. This could lead to a progressive ice age, as time passes world temperatures will fall at a faster rate, more so after the blocking of solar radiation. Other factors included are also determined, and agree with current knowledge. Such as gasses from volcanoes. this may block out the suns energy over time. I include the most understood factors, well known today by modern science. Dust from either volcanoes, meteorite impacts, and the deforestation of the planet. To much air born material in the system. Perhaps even a dust bowl world wide. leading to a colder climate due to less solar warmth reaching the earths surface. Solar fluctuations, may lead to a cooling, or warming of earths surface. Both can lead to an ice age. I can agree with that. Location of equilibrium, or a change in Earth Axial position can lead to a warming, and cooling in one hemisphere over the other. Non equilibrium. The teeter totter perspective. Similar is the function of a see-saw. Factors included seem to answer all of the possible circumstances related to ice age periods. Premiss. By a change in Axial position, or equilibrium of Earth system in relationship to said galactic plain. I can reflect this change in several ways. 1. By a change in location, and, or position of a body in relation to said plain. A body such as the Earth may experience diverse effects. Including magnetic anomaly, including a change in air flow direction, or temperature within the given system. assuming it has an atmosphere. 2. A change in Earth axis position, to whatever degree may have diverse effects on the inner system, or atmosphere of said body. This In relation to its present equilibrium, and its magnetic alignments to the stars.. The rotation of the given body, or its angular momentum can make predictable statements. Self verified today. 3. Ice age By volcanic emissions alone, or in conjunction with a change in equilibrium of a system. In relation to its orbit, axial position, and speed of rotation. May also lead to an ice age. Extremely non intuitive. 4 A large meteor impact may lead to an ice age, by the blocking of solar rays reaching the Earths surface. All statements are true statements.. Yes or no? I have determined this is accurate. How many of these effects mentioned have taken place today, and when did the first ideas develop? 1. For the axial shift, and bubble, yes there was 2 separate events in the last 2 years. the axis has shifted a total of 7 inches. 2. more then 30 volcanoes have erupted, and continue to erupt in the last 18 months. fact. If you want to see the numbers of how much dust and ash have been sent hurling into the atmosphere. (quantity of gaseous material). 3. Water vapor level of our atmosphere is quickly increasing. Storms with high wind speed reflect these relations in the given way. A change in angular momentum, and velocity of rotation. I will also post the numbers. water vapor, or steam is the number one volcanic gas expelled by volcanoes. Include estimated gaseous material over time. 4. There has not been a deep impact on earth by meteorite in a long time. This observation of cause for an ice age today is therefore is excluded from any cause as of today. No deep impact. I only need to show you with pictures how the air in the system, has made a change in direction in the last 18 months. I show air flow from the southern hemisphere is moving to the northern. The proper term is arctic, tropical, continental flow. Crossing boundary lines. 5. Solar fluctuation, again this is present in this model. Solar energy is a given, and may decrease, or increase over time.. We now are in the 24 solar cycle, and it has produced heating fluctuation on Earth also. The sun has also produced many solar flare extremes during this event. 24th solar cycle started in 2010. All info can be found on the net about the problems of solar cycle 24. I can provide much more data. Make your own determinations on these conditions. Solar energy, angular momentum, volcanic eruptions, meteor impact, increase in gaseous materials , and dust in the system, axial shift, Etc.. Oceans reflect the immediate changes, and therefore determined a leveling off period is also is progressive. All these effects are ongoing, and observable. The self verified Factor: solar anomalous, volcanic eruption on a large scale, tilt in axial position, Earth magnetic field anomalous, a change in direction of air circulation, and oceanic tides moving to the north. The model is simple, and works very well for prediction. Excluding all global warming BS mainstream claims. According to this model are we closing in on an ice age? Has all causing factors been reflected upon enough to make a determination? If we stick to known causes only. It definitely closely agrees. Ice age cause, simple verifying model. See the movies I have made. Immediate determinations based on observation of the globe over time. The first movie was just after the Great chili quake. After the axis has shifted 3 inches. Pleas pause this movie at 31 seconds, do you see what I do? Intuitive of scientific validating factors. The intimidate change is a constant in determining a cause. There is a massive drip, or a drip of cold air moving toward the equator. Looks like a change in equilibrium in the Earth system. This is the bubble I have reflected. Some may say this is a wobble, some may say indeterminable. Further scientific observation does not agree with the given notion.. Some factual data to support my claim. very non intuitive. OCT 29 : Chile, Hudson volcano - Clouds of steam and smoke have risen up to 5km into the air OCT 28 : Chile, Hudson volcano stirs up, Chile evacuates residents OCT 27 : Indonesia, Mt. Lokon - Mt.Lokon erupted again, now spewing incandescent materials up to a height of 1,200 meters (3,930 feet) OCT 27 : Chile, Hudson volcano - Chilean volcano awakens, red Alert declared at Mount Hudson in southern Chile OCT 26 : Indonesia, Mt.Lokon volcano - Mount Lokon Volcano Erupts In Central Indonesia, No Injuries Reported OCT 25 : Underwater volcano spews exotic lava OCT 25 : New volcano in El Hierro OCT 25 : Bolivia, more Uturuncu volcano news: Inflating With Astonishing Speed / Is she about to blow? Scientists investigate riddle of rapidly inflating volcano OCT 24 : New magma intrusion into El Hierro volcano OCT 24 : Turkey, Nemrut volcano - Turkey fears volcano eruption OCT 24 : Etna volcano eruption forces airport closure OCT 22 : El Hierro volcano - The tremor signal grows again while increasing the shaking OCT 20 : Hawai, Mauna Kea volcano - Earthquake swarm OCT 19 : Bolivia, Rapidly Inflating Volcano Creates Growing Mystery OCT 18 : Iceland, Katla volcano - Seismic tremors OCT 17 : Chile, Puyehue volcano - Argentina, Uruguay halt flights due to volcanic ash OCT 16 : Russia, Shiveluch in violent eruption OCT 16 : El Hierro volcano - Giant bubbles visible from the coast OCT 15 : El Hierro, green area + a small plume OCT 15 : Magma incandescent and explosion hazard impede access La Restinga EL HIERRO OCT 14 : El Hierro eruption aerial, showing the green spot OCT 13 : sharp tremor drop in El Hierro OCT 13 : The magma is close to La Restinga EL HIERRO OCT 12 : People of El Hierro can spot the “supposed” eruption areas (green colored sea areas) from a viewpoint above La Restinga OCT 12 : Canary Islands, El Hierro volcano - La Restinga , A Ghost town as the only people left behind are the Scientists OCT 12 : Canary Islands, El Hierro volcano - latest updates OCT 12 : Chile - NASA satellite imagery shows that the eruption of Puyehue Corón-Caulle Volcano is continuing after more than 4 months of activity. OCT 12 : Canary Islands: Town flees volcano threat OCT 11 : Canary Islands, El Hierro volcano - Spanish Town Evacuated Because of Volcano Threat OCT 11 : Icelandic Volcano Dust Hits Swiss Airline in the Country OCT 11 : Indonesia, Anak Krakatau volcano - High seismic activity, increase of Volcanic quakes OCT 11 : Usa, Cleveland volcano - If the lava dome continues to grow in the summit crater, the possibility of an explosive event increases OCT 10 : Hawaii, Kilauea volcano - Lava flow resumes to southeast and northeast OCT 10 : The port of La Restinga, very close to yesterday´s eruption zone, has now been called on a RED ALERT and evacuation is ongoing. OCT 10 : El Hierro update - Eruption is growing in size OCT 10 : Subsea Volcanic Eruption Underway Near El Hierro (The Canary Islands) OCT 10 : Indonesia, Six volcanoes on high alert, but no evacuations for now OCT 10 : Submarine Eruption Underway South of El Hierro OCT 9 : Volcanic activity in Sunda Strait continues picking up: Indonesia OCT 8 : Lava Builds in Alaska Volcano, May Threaten Planes OCT 8 : Iceland, Hamarinn volcano - Tremor pulses in Hamarinn volcano (most likely) OCT 7 : Reykjanes Ridge Earthquakes Coincide With Rise In Seismic Activity At Katla Volcano OCT 7 : Canary islands, El Hierro volcano - Nearly 9,000 seismic movements on the island since July 17 + rising ball of lava OCT 6 : Iceland, 4.8M eq struck Katla volcano OCT 5 : Indonesia, Warning status for Anak Krakatau OCT 5 : Iceland, Intense swarm of earthquakes in Katla volcano OCT 5 : Alaskas Cleveland Volcano Closer to Erupting OCT 4 : New Zealand, alert level at Ruapehu remains at 1, despite the temperature of the crater lake rising towards conditions typical for an eruption. OCT 4 : Tourists, fishers Warned to Stay Clear of Anak Krakatau Volcano OCT 3 : Magma on the move in El Hierro, Canary Islands OCT 3 : Hawaii, Kilauea volcano - Lava flows vigorously advancing east of Pu`u `O`o; gas emissions elevated. OCT 3 : Explosive eruptions at Sakurajima volcano, Japan : OCT 3 : Indonesia, Anak Krakatau - New eruption OCT 2 : Indonesia: Anak Krakatau Raised To Highest Alert Status- Quakes Are Now Continuous, Warn Officials SEP 30 : Costa Rica's Rincon de la Vieja Volcano Awakens SEP 29 : Eruption on Nabro volcano continues / Evidence of ongoing activity (satellite pictures) SEP 29 : National Geological Institute (IGN-Spain) graphic shows the massive surge of energy release at El Hierro SEP 29 : The Canary Islands government radio alert to all operators of the impending El Hierro volcanic eruption on the island 12 kilometers! SEP 29 : Italy, Etna volcano - 15th eruption of Mt.Etna SEP 28 : Canary islands, El Hierro volcano - Evacuation of smallest Canary Island begins after earthquake 'swarm' sparks fears of volcanic eruption / Risk of landslides SEP 27 : Iceland, Hamarinn volcano tremor signal SEP 27 : Japan, Sakurajima volcano - Daily eruptions continues SEP 26 : Japan, Sakurajima volcano - Shock wave move the clouds around the peak of the volcano.. followed by a moderate lava flow/ejection. SEP 26 : Canary Islands, El Hierro volcano - On alert for a possible volcanic eruption SEP 24 : Costa Rica, Poas Volcano - Incandescence of the lava dome SEP 23 : Philippines, 7 quakes rock Taal Volcano : SEP 23 : Tonga, Very strong shallow earthquake near Niuafo’ou volcano : SEP 23 : Canary Islands, Government raises alert level on El Hierro volcano to yellow : SEP 23 : Iceland, Skagafjörður volcanic zone - Seismic activity SEP 23 : Iceland, Earthquakes in Katla volcano, strong sulphur smell in Múlakvísl river SEP 23 : Hawaii, Kilauea volcano - lava level in the summit eruptive vent briefly rose a few meters overnight SEP 23 : Usa, Cleveland Volcano in Alaska Shows Signs of Eruption : SEP 22 : Indonesia, Lewotobi (Laki-laki) volcano - Because of increased activity alert level raised to level 2 SEP 22 : Indonesia, Alert level raised for the mudflow spewing from an underground volcano in Sidoarjo after nearby dikes nearly failed. SEP 21 : Lethal super volcano ready for eruption SEP 21 : Hawaii, Kilauea volcano - New lava breakout at Pu’u O’o flows towards Royal Gardens SEP 21 : Iceland, New earthquake swarm in Katla volcano SEP 21 : Usa, Cleveland volcano - Volcano on Alaska's remote Aleutians oozes lava SEP 21 : Indonesia, Mt. Marapi - W.Sumatra volcano continues to expel smoke, dust SEP 20 : Mt. Tambora fear mounts.... SEP 19 : Italy, Etna volcano - 14th paroxysm of SE crater in progress SEP 19 : Russia, Karymsky (Kamchatka) volcano spews ash again SEP 19 : Indonesia, Mt.Tambora - History’s deadliest volcano comes back to life in Indonesia, sparking panic among villagers SEP 18 : Japan, Sakurajima volcano - Eruption with heavy static discharge lightning SEP 18 : Usa, Cleveland volcano - Continued growth of the lava dome SEP 18 : Usa, Long valley caldera - Twenty-seven earthquakes in the past week SEP 17 : Seismic activity, Long valley caldera SEP 17 : Seismic activity, Campi Flegrei SEP 16 : Seismic activity, Yellowstone caldera SEP 16 : Iceland, Krýsuvík volcano - Land and water levels rise SEP 16 : Usa, Cleveland volcano - Two months of low-level eruptions could signal bigger problem to come SEP 15 : Volcanic eruptions drape Kagoshima in ash SEP 15 : Indonesia, Semeru volcano - 3-4 eruptions per day SEP 15 : Iceland, Katla volcano - More new tremor spikes in Katla volcano SEP 14 : Russia, Kamchatka Volcano - Powerful volcanic explosions SEP 14 : Hawaii, Kilauea volcano - Lava lake level rising as inflation progressed SEP 13 : Russia's Shiveluch volcano erupts, spews 10-km ash column SEP 13 : Russia, Satellite Images Highlight The Growth Of Russia’s Kizimen Volcano SEP 12 : Seismic tremors at Colombian volcanoes SEP 12 : Indonesia, Mt.Tambora - Three areas were emptied of community activities both wood seekers and tourists. SEP 12 : Iceland, Earthquake swarm in Öræfajökull volcano sparks interest SEP 12 : Philippines, Bulusan Volcano - Seismic activity and white steam was observed SEP 12 : Seismic activity, Philippines, Taal volcano SEP 11 : Indonesia, Mt.Tambora - Evacuation Plans Prepped as Mount Tambora Alert Level Is Raised SEP 10 : Iceland, Katla volcano - Two earthquake swarms during the night. SEP 9 : Indonesia - Papandayan Activity Continues to Increase SEP 9 : New eruption at Mount Etna sends lava down slopes, ash cloud SEP 9 : Indonesia - Mount Tambora alert status raised to Level 3 SEP 9 : Seismic activity, misc. SEP 9 : More harmonic tremors in Katla volcano SEP 8 : Iceland, Katla volcano - Iceland’s Civil Protection Department has increased its monitoring of Katla, following increased seismic activity in the surrounding area SEP 7 : Iceland, Katla volcano - Magma on the move in Katla volcano / Increased geothermal heat and seismic activity might indicate an upcoming eruption SEP 7 : Alaska, Cleveland volcano - Remote Alaska volcano might erupt soon, experts say SEP 7 : Hawaii, Kilauea volcano - The summit lava lake rose slightly overnight at Pu`u `O`o crater sep 6 Iceland goes on alert as volcano Katla nears eruption SEP 6 : Mount Duokono North Halmahera erupted belching volcanic ash as high as 800 meters SEP 6 : Indonesia’s Mount Lokon erupts four times on Tuesday SEP 6 : Remote Alaska volcano resumes dome building, AVO raised the Aviation Color Code at Cleveland to ORANGE SEP 6 : Earthquake swarm in Krýsuvík volcano, Iceland SEP 6 : Strong harmonic tremor pulse starting in Katla volcano SEP 6 : Seismic activity; Campi Flegrei caldera, W.Naples/Italy SEP 6 : Increased seismicity at Iceland's Katla has finally begun to show up in the mainstream media : Iceland volcano sees surge in seismic activity SEP 6 : Katla seismic activity continues - Growing harmonic tremor spike in Katla volcano SEP 5 : Seismic activity - Magnitude 6.6 eq struck N.W.of Toba supervolcano caldera SEP 5 : Earthquake swarm deep on the Reykjanes Ridge SEP 5 : More Seismic Activity by Katla Volcano than Usual SEP 4 : New harmonic tremors spikes in Katla volcano SEP 3 : Indonesia - Increased activity at 22 volcanoes, alert raised SEP 3 : Another earthquake swarm in Katla volcano, 3rd swarm in 6 days SEP 3 : Inflation starts in Katla volcano SEP 3 : Indonesia, Ranakah volcano (Flores, Indonesia) - because of increased seismicity alert status raised SEP 3 : Japan - This year's 600th explosive eruption was observed Saturday at Mt. Sakurajima SEP 2 - Quake-hit Iceland volcano Katla shows strengthening signs of eruption SEP 2 : Indonesia - Mt.Tambora volcano in Indonesia has been raised to level 2 alert Latest Earthquakes Magnitude 5.0 and Greater in the World - Last 7 days Versión en Español Magnitude 5 and greater earthquakes located by the USGS and contributing networks in the last week (168 hours). Magnitudes 6 and above are in red. (Some early events may be obscured by later ones on the maps.) The most recent earthquakes are at the top of the list. Times are in Coordinated Universal Time (UTC). Click on the word "map" to see a ten-degree tall map displaying the earthquake. Click on an event's "DATE" to get a detailed report. DISCLAIMER Update time = Mon Nov 7 10:01:31 UTC 2011 MAG UTC DATE-TIME y/m/d h:mConfused LAT deg LON deg DEPTH km Region MAP 5.0 2011/11/07 09:43:20 7.854 125.087 86.2 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES MAP 5.2 2011/11/07 04:44:38 -3.709 149.705 34.8 BISMARCK SEA MAP 5.1 2011/11/07 04:01:40 -3.633 149.674 35.0 BISMARCK SEA MAP 5.1 2011/11/07 01:46:36 45.938 149.136 158.4 KURIL ISLANDS MAP 5.1 2011/11/07 01:43:39 -3.556 149.599 35.0 BISMARCK SEA MAP 5.2 2011/11/06 10:41:03 54.206 -162.624 30.4 ALASKA PENINSULA MAP 5.3 2011/11/06 08:08:14 54.108 -162.504 24.9 ALASKA PENINSULA MAP 5.1 2011/11/06 07:34:16 -23.149 -175.382 17.2 TONGA REGION MAP 5.3 2011/11/06 04:41:57 -6.057 106.349 160.1 JAVA, INDONESIA MAP 5.6 2011/11/06 03:53:11 35.537 -96.747 5.0 OKLAHOMA MAP 5.0 2011/11/06 00:46:28 -8.334 128.030 34.8 TIMOR SEA MAP 5.1 2011/11/05 16:49:38 -28.828 -176.955 50.7 KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION MAP 5.7 2011/11/05 07:13:57 -23.529 -70.400 27.3 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE MAP 5.8 2011/11/05 01:49:20 -18.293 168.309 39.5 VANUATU MAP 5.2 2011/11/04 21:31:35 -7.194 103.791 35.0 SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA, INDONESIA MAP 5.8 2011/11/04 15:43:45 -15.183 167.366 145.8 VANUATU MAP 5.1 2011/11/04 14:59:54 -8.889 115.740 98.3 BALI REGION, INDONESIA MAP 5.0 2011/11/04 02:59:19 36.041 141.148 35.0 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN MAP 5.0 2011/11/03 15:47:34 55.551 163.987 21.9 OFF THE EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA, RUSSIA MAP 5.2 2011/11/03 11:40:11 -24.176 -69.902 91.2 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE MAP 5.1 2011/11/03 10:34:29 35.784 139.983 70.4 NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN MAP 5.4 2011/11/02 19:01:34 9.654 -84.788 39.6 COSTA RICA MAP 6.2 2011/11/02 14:59:26 -55.303 -128.795 1.1 PACIFIC-ANTARCTIC RIDGE MAP 5.0 2011/11/02 06:33:29 -0.039 123.413 130.8 SULAWESI, INDONESIA MAP 5.3 2011/11/01 23:21:20 -7.116 129.120 178.6 KEPULAUAN BABAR, INDONESIA MAP 5.0 2011/11/01 22:29:40 19.683 -109.266 9.9 REVILLA GIGEDO ISLANDS REGION MAP 5.1 2011/11/01 17:58:34 -23.902 -69.173 79.2 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE MAP 5.1 2011/11/01 17:18:05 34.513 104.105 17.0 GANSU, CHINA MAP 5.0 2011/11/01 16:21:26 35.939 141.637 21.1 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN MAP 6.3 2011/11/01 12:32:00 19.891 -109.216 5.0 REVILLA GIGEDO ISLANDS REGION MAP 5.5 2011/11/01 01:03:53 -0.004 123.370 140.4 SULAWESI, INDONESIA MAP 5.4 2011/11/01 00:21:28 43.633 82.383 27.9 NORTHERN XINJIANG, CHINA MAP 5.5 2011/10/31 21:58:17 32.559 105.324 16.1 SICHUAN-GANSU BORDER REGION, CHINA News 2011 Seismo-volcanic Swarm on Hierro, Canary Islands 8/23/11 - Magnitude-5.8 Earthquake Strikes National Capital Area 05/09/2011-Distant Earthquakes Can Trigger Deep Slow Fault Slip 04/28/11 - Preparing for the Great ShakeOut Drill: Handbook Offers Vital Earthquake History and Preparedness Information to Central U.S. Residents 04/15/2011 - Closing Thoughts: New Madrid Earthquake Bicentennial Remains Central Topic at Memphis Conference 03/28/2011-No Evidence for Large Triggered Earthquakes Across the Globe USGS Updates Magnitude of Japan's 2011 Tohoku Earthquake to 9.0 02/18/2011-Nearly 60 Small to Moderate Earthquakes Strike Arkansas and Are Widely Felt 01/11/11 - Haiti Dominates Earthquake Fatalities in 2010 Earthquakes Magnitude 5.6 OKLAHOMA November 06, 2011 Magnitude 4.7 OKLAHOMA November 05, 2011 Magnitude 6.3 REVILLA GIGEDO ISLANDS REGION November 01, 2011 Magnitude 6.9 NEAR THE COAST OF CENTRAL PERU October 28, 2011 Magnitude 7.1 EASTERN TURKEY October 23, 2011 Magnitude 7.4 KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION October 21, 2011 Magnitude 4.8 SOUTHERN TEXAS October 20, 2011 Magnitude 6.5 EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG, PAPUA NEW GUINEA October 14, 2011 Magnitude 5.3 OFF THE COAST OF OREGON October 13, 2011 Magnitude 6.1 SOUTH OF THE KERMADEC ISLANDS October 07, 2011 Magnitude 5.8 GUATEMALA September 19, 2011 Magnitude 6.9 INDIA-NEPAL BORDER REGION September 18, 2011 Magnitude 6.7 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN September 16, 2011 Magnitude 7.3 FIJI REGION September 15, 2011 Magnitude 6.4 VANCOUVER ISLAND, CANADA REGION September 09, 2011 Magnitude 6.6 NORTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA September 05, 2011 Magnitude 7.0 VANUATU September 03, 2011 Magnitude 6.7 SANTIAGO DEL ESTERO, ARGENTINA September 02, 2011 Magnitude 6.8 FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS, ALASKA September 02, 2011 Magnitude 6.8 BANDA SEA August 30, 2011 Magnitude 6.8 NORTHERN PERU August 24, 2011 Magnitude 5.8 VIRGINIA August 23, 2011 Magnitude 5.3 COLORADO August 23, 2011 Magnitude 4.6 COLORADO August 22, 2011 Magnitude 7.0 VANUATU August 20, 2011 Magnitude 7.1 VANUATU August 20, 2011 Magnitude 6.3 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN August 19, 2011 Magnitude 6.8 NEAR NORTH COAST OF NEW GUINEA, P.N.G. July 31, 2011 Magnitude 6.7 SOUTH OF THE FIJI ISLANDS July 29, 2011 Magnitude 6.1 KYRGYZSTAN July 19, 2011 Magnitude 7.0 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN July 10, 2011 Magnitude 7.6 KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION July 06, 2011 Magnitude 7.2 FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS, ALASKA June 24, 2011 Magnitude 6.0 SOUTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND June 13, 2011 Magnitude 5.8 WESTERN TURKEY May 19, 2011 Magnitude 5.1 SPAIN May 11, 2011 Magnitude 6.8 LOYALTY ISLANDS May 10, 2011 Magnitude 6.9 SOLOMON ISLANDS April 23, 2011 Magnitude 7.1 EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN April 11, 2011 Magnitude 7.1 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN April 07, 2011 Magnitude 6.5 VERACRUZ, MEXICO April 07, 2011 Magnitude 6.7 SOUTH OF JAVA, INDONESIA April 03, 2011 Magnitude 6.9 MYANMAR March 24, 2011 Magnitude 6.6 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN March 22, 2011 Magnitude 6.3 VANUATU March 17, 2011 Magnitude 9.0 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN March 11, 2011 Magnitude 5.5 MYANMAR-CHINA BORDER REGION March 10, 2011 Magnitude 6.5 NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA March 09, 2011 Magnitude 7.3 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN March 09, 2011 Magnitude 6.6 SOLOMON ISLANDS March 07, 2011 Magnitude 6.5 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION March 06, 2011 Magnitude 4.7 ARKANSAS February 28, 2011 Magnitude 6.1 SOUTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND February 21, 2011 Magnitude 4.1 ARKANSAS February 18, 2011 Magnitude 6.6 OFFSHORE MAULE, CHILE February 14, 2011 Magnitude 6.8 OFFSHORE BIO-BIO, CHILE February 11, 2011 Magnitude 6.5 CELEBES SEA February 10, 2011 Magnitude 7.2 SOUTHWESTERN PAKISTAN January 18, 2011 Magnitude 7.0 LOYALTY ISLANDS January 13, 2011 Magnitude 6.6 VANUATU January 09, 2011 Magnitude 4.1 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA January 08, 2011 Magnitude 7.1 ARAUCANIA, CHILE January 02, 2011 Magnitude 7.0 SANTIAGO DEL ESTERO, ARGENTINA January 01, 2011 Saturday 10th December 2011 Kilauea Volcano, Hawaii A lava flow has reached the old Royal Gardens subdivision and is burning forest in a kipuka. Lava is also advancing across the coastal plain towards the ocean. At the summit of Kilauea volcano there is a lava lake in a vent 75 m below the floor of Halemaumau crater. On the east rift zone lava periodically appears in Pu'u O'o crater. Thursday 8th December 2011 Sundoro Volcano, Indonesia Sundoro volcano in central Java was raised to level 2 alert on 6th December 2011 after an increase in seismicity. The temperature of fumaroles at the summit increased from 75 deg C on 26th November to 95 deg C on 2nd December. On 2nd December a plume from the summit rose several tens of metres above the rim of the crater. The number of volcanic earthquakes were measured as 3 in October, 13 in November and 20 between 1-4 December. A 2 km exclusion zone has been placed around the volcano. The last eruption of Sundoro volcano occurred in 1971. More on Sundoro volcano... Volcanoes of Indonesia... Monday 5th December 2011 Gamalama Volcano, Indonesia Gamalama volcano in Indonesia erupted at 11 pm local time on 4th December 2011. The eruption deposited ash over the Ternate. On 4th December 47 shallow volcanic earthquakes were recorded at the volcano compared to 1 shallow earthquake on 3rd December. More on Gamalama volcano... Volcanoes of Indonesia... Sunday 4th December 2011 Kilauea Volcano, Hawaii A lava flow is advancing towards the old Royal Gardens subdivision at Kilauea volcano in Hawaii. The flow is moving alongside a kipuka and has started forest fires. The lava is moving west of the February 2010 flow and is close to the last inhabited house in the subdivision. Thursday 8th December 2011 Sundoro Volcano, Indonesia Sundoro volcano in central Java was raised to level 2 alert on 6th December 2011 after an increase in seismicity. The temperature of fumaroles at the summit increased from 75 deg C on 26th November to 95 deg C on 2nd December. On 2nd December a plume from the summit rose several tens of metres above the rim of the crater. The number of volcanic earthquakes were measured as 3 in October, 13 in November and 20 between 1-4 December. A 2 km exclusion zone has been placed around the volcano. The last eruption of Sundoro volcano occurred in 1971. Monday 5th December 2011 Gamalama Volcano, Indonesia Gamalama volcano in Indonesia erupted at 11 pm local time on 4th December 2011. The eruption deposited ash over the Ternate. On 4th December 47 shallow volcanic earthquakes were recorded at the volcano compared to 1 shallow earthquake on 3rd December Sunday 4th December 2011 Kilauea Volcano, Hawaii A lava flow is advancing towards the old Royal Gardens subdivision at Kilauea volcano in Hawaii. The flow is moving alongside a kipuka and has started forest fires. The lava is moving west of the February 2010 flow and is close to the last inhabited house in the subdivision. definition assume respiratory conditions are increasing. For me, I have noticed the atmosphere is producing copious amounts of ozone, several less well know causes can be accounted for. Lets face it, the nuclear disaster in japan is a main contributor. Radioactive material drifting around the entire world. What does radio active mean? It means it is releasing energy. The interaction in our atmosphere, causes a response. water vapor in the form of cloud cover gets heated, heat causes it to evaporate quickly, leading to less cloud cover were the heating is very high. Perhaps the drought in Texas is related to that, the radiation transforms the atmosphere leading to a huge spike in low level ozone, you may not like this answer, but it is scientifically sound. Other causes an increase in natural gas, and methane bubbling up from pockets under ground that have reached the surface. an earth quake, or drilling in search of fuel may release the trapped pockets of gas. This gets even more dangerous, as it is also exposed to solar rays, and even the radiation coming from nuclear plants that fail, nuclear testing, under ground testing etc. This is not per-say the (only factors) to respiratory problems on a global scale, but is becoming evident, a main contributor. Independent study, and sampling of the air you breathe and the drinking water being consumed Is necessary for determining cause. The amount of tolerances a body can handle is determined not by the individual, but by the quantity a species can safely tolerate. If the quantity of these very dangerous by products find its way hovering above your home, you can be sure the clean breathable oxygen is reduced. It may even lead to brain damage, or permanent damage to the respiratory system. My own researches verify that. Sincerely If we go back to 2010, 6,7 or greater quakes are increasing in frequency. If we go back to 2009 we have a somewhat stable environment. When dealing with 2010, prediction was very intuitive, and there was found to be a cause. In 2011, predictions may be determined on a time sensitive base if we look at 2010. Earthquakes are generally not time sensitive. random quakes are a result of stress on plates that are in motion, assuming the earth is in a stable condition. In 2011 the earth is quickly becoming destabilized, and an outcome for future predictions based on the time frame given for 2010 will lead to a higher degree of accuracy. The progression of the destabilizing crustal shifts for 2011 will clearly show an increase of frequency, and more powerful quakes, leading to the next great earthquake expected within the next 4 months. closer to the end of march is my prediction, although it may be sooner December 2011 to February 2012. January 2011 will have a high probability for 7.0 to 8.0 earthquakes. If you had thought earthquake prediction is unlikely, then by looking at a graph of 2010, you may prove with accuracy time sensitive relations for 2011, and also 2012. People claiming to be able to use astronomical charts in the past found it most difficult. Volcanic eruptions are no different for 2011, and 2012 many will be erupting by mid January, and continue for a few months there after. You may find a chart for 2010, and determine these eruptions most accurately for the next 2 to 3 years. It is time to be prepared. The progression will accelerate more so after destabilization. So yea, its not looking good. I hope your concern may lead to a better understanding of the process of torque induced precession. It has been found to be a progression of axial shift. Over a 3 to 5 year period starting in early months of 2010. The magician does not tell his secrets, but in this case science does. I am a scientist, not a magician. Get technical, and yes science does, you must provide data within the parameters, or scope determined to be highly unlikely to occur. The greater the magnitude of prediction, the less likely it is to occur. Stated you must go back to a somewhat stable platform 2009. When dealing with averages, the greater the imputable input factors, the greater the average relation over time. We don't average here.This is clearly time sensitive. I have set the bar much higher. you must go back to the year 2008-2009 and make your input data entirely. Do the same for the entire year of 2010 to the current date. Compare, see if a time sensitive progression has occurred as of Feb 27, 2010. Then you must determine how an earthquake is related as a time sensitive factor, comparing the 4 years of total data. To be on the safe side, 2 years before progression, 2 years of progression. Now you plot on two charts, each with 2 years of average data, and compare. The chart will tell the story all by itself. the chart must follow the time sensitive information provided. Meaning each month, and each quake plotted on the chart 6.0 or greater corresponds, or in relation with the date it had occurred. By doing so, the data will reflect to a much higher degree of accuracy. Observation leading to determining factors. "Terminology of definitions, context : wiki "In traditional logic, an axiom or postulate is a proposition that is not proven or demonstrated but considered either to be self-evident or to define and delimit the realm of analysis. In other words, an axiom is a logical statement that is assumed to be true. Therefore, its truth is taken for granted, and serves as a starting point for deducing and inferring other (theory dependent) truths. basic, foundational proposition or assumption that cannot be deduced from any other proposition, or assumption. to be the cause of; bring about. A person, or thing that acts, happens, or exists in such a way that some specific thing happens as a result; the producer of an effect: " Science has been looking for evidence that explain what chain of events, or factors play a major role in predicting cataclysmic events in the past, present, and future. Making past assumptions leads to debate, a major problem for modern theoretical advancements, and the difficulty researchers have addressing these issues. My goal : By taking certain considerations, and factors into account paving the way for new viable study dealing with past, present, and future crisis of the environment. With the flurry of data entering the debate, certain real factors may have been ignored, or misunderstood in recent years, leading to false, or misleading outcomes. The reader is stuck in the middle of this debate, asking more questions than having answers provided. In light of the moon, Bruce Lee said, "don't focus on the finger, or you will miss all that heavenly glory." he also said when he strikes a target that "It strikes all by itself" I have chosen the date Jan 29, 2010 to begin this study. Why? Because it was then certain information had come to light relating to the events that follow. I bring your attention to the first wolf moon in 20 years. smiling at Bruce. The event may have not been all that memorable to the reader, but it was for me. What occurred shortly thereafter was something incredible indeed. After turning my attention away from the moon I observed the sun in its relation out of curiosity for the event. I had discovered the sun was in a process of change, that change was the beginning of a new solar cycle. (solar cycle 24) A process that will be the most memorable event for the rest of my life. After I had observed this process for the next 5 to 7 days I had confirmed that a new solar cycle had begun. shortly after it was also confirmed by leading scientists of the day. The next observation lead me to focus on the effects this change could have on the planet earth, and that is just what i did. I now had 3 factors to keep a close eye on. Each new factor was leading to other factors with a higher, and higher degree of probable outcomes. (cause, and effect chain.) 1. The sun. solar rotational periods. In comparison, determinable factors help predict earth quake, and eruptions. 2. The moon. lunar periods of change. Time frame relations observable factors. 3. The planet earth, and all the effects relate to these changes. Predicted out comes. The first real results came as a series of powerful earthquakes. Unaware at the time of the historical implications of the Jan 17, 2010 Haiti earthquake, occurring just prior to the start of solar cycle 24. I had considered all may have been by coincidence, and my attention was now on the The Vernal Equinox. A time when the Sun reaches the balancing point in its path through the tropical zodiac, when the length of the day is equal to the length of the night. Astronomy charts confirm, leading to the beginning of the new astrological year. (The new age also, 25000 years perhaps) The dawning of the age of Aquarius. It was my belief at the time Feb 16, 2010 marked Equinox, sweet 16. I also confirmed it had occurred in a specific location on the planet looking at astronomical charts. If you like a good mystery like I do, check out the coral castle By Edward Leedskalnin. My focus is on the stars, I had observed something special. Jupiter aligns with mars, and the moon enters the seventh house. looking from the northern hemisphere to the west. One pill will make you grow, one pill will make you small. (feeding your head) I had expanded my mind. Smile. These are the true observations I had made. I scrabbled for more information in astronomy, solar cycles, lunar cycles, Earth cycles, and precession. I found what I was looking for, unknowing what would lead to the next change, and cause of events that would follow. I had found MIT lectures By X-ray Astronomer Walter Lewin, and proceeded to watch them all, over the next several months. 801, 802, and 803 lectures, as a refresher to my major. 11 days later, Feb 27, 2010 Great quake of chili happened. I thought could this have any relation to this special time, and are these effects directly related? Focusing now on Earth weather patterns, cloud cover, and the circulation within our atmosphere. I observed closely, and intently for the last couple of years. What had occurred next was another astonishing effect, seemingly there was a hick-up in the direction of circulation within the system. Storms had spawned quickly after the Great quake, and I was like, another coincidence? I started questioning my motives to find a solution to these effects. What would be revealed to me over the course of the next year could not be caused by the sun alone. Prior to this i began predicting powerful earthquakes accurately, and immediately began to understand the true meaning of climatology. storms would spawn, cyclones, tornadoes, and even hail in diverse places on earth. Another coincidence i said? questioning my sanity, my mind suddenly ruptured into a volcano of information from my observations. I made several conclusions, and these conclusions were short lived, until I discovered the induction factor. Induction you may say? Yes, at this point several volcanoes began to erupt within a short period of time, and had to understand this better for my own research purposes, and knowledge. I found part of the answer. Induction, something was causing the Earths core to expand I said. On the next new moon, another eruption had occurred, and for a period of time, about 3 months the eruptions had stopped. This is very odd, I was convinced science could explain these immediate effects, and by 2011 I had used all the information I had gained, and applied it with present day predictions. Looking always for a cause, and effect, I had discovered a short time period of about 13 days before a major event, and they did occur as expected. This was in relation to earthquakes, so i made it my goal to prove there was no way this is a coincidence. I would set as a minimum magnitude that could not be only by chance. 6.4 was the norm for these time variable events, and then i demonstrated to many of my friends who are extremely skeptical with ease. I raised the bar once again, I had set the limits of reportable magnitude to at least 7.0. with The same outcome. I even had the March 11 2011 quake predicted to 24 hours. That is strange indeed. Prior to the March 11 2011 quake, I was looking for variables, I was also expecting the first results relating to strong quakes by February 16 2010, although it may have been subtle, or a overlooked effect at 6.4 , taking place in the same region in Japan. This as a signal of effects I had thought, a pair of events would signal the predicted outcomes following part one. 4. Induction factor related to expansion periods during the time frame proposed, 2 years. this can be extended 2 more years taken what was learned. 5. Angular momentum, or earth rotational speed that is under change. Relative to the circulation of air flow, includes immediate relation, determining factor. Strong storms, and all related effects in the systems are still under observation. 6. Oceanic tidal surges, and there specific location to the rotational center of mass of the given body. accompanied by marine life loosing the ability to navigate by instinct. Even other magnetic variations in the system, causing airplanes to miss runways wile trying to land, and crash. leading to the recalibration of airport automatic safe guards that use the earths magnetic field. Concluding with the continued effects, time lines, and progressive events. All of these factors were found to be related to cause, these are the major determining predictable factors that validate this model wile at the same time excluding less known causes such as an increase of co2 levels in the system, the continued reduction of Antarctic ozone levels, or the depletion of the rain forests. even by excluding all man made flora carbons of the last 100 years. A genuine gravitational lensing effect, and an increase in uv bursts, magnetic flux, or pressure. A cassimir effect. Coronal mass ejections, solar flairs, and solar winds interacting with the earths ionosphere. leading to spectacular Auroras. verify ozone production, and the rarefaction of our atmosphere. The twist is in the traits of the species. The doors that are enshrouded, are now open. The sleepy mouse comes out to play. We open our eyes, no need to be told analogy. The magician does not reveal his secrets, but in this case science does. Research, and advancements if requested. Every thing in nature, everything included in a system has a generating effect on another system. You might say mainstream global warming scientist look at a completely empty system, with no regard for all the facts, only including there axioms that blame The human race for any changes in that system. Radioactive material, and the inability to contain it is there fault not mine. They have destroyed vast quantity of land mass, leaving it uninhabitable for generations, leaving piles of spent fuel rods in land fills, leaving that material in a delicate system such as earth enters the atmosphere, ground water, and destroys all life. Every change leads to other changes. Simple these changes are accumulative, and the main cause of change in the system is not co2. That is all I have to say about that. You may wonder why most people call global warming BS. Politics include what there feeble minds allow them to. Scientists may have a theory fine, but it needs structure, and not simple assertion. You know what I am saying, not the scientists fault they are only there to cover up what is implied by these changes."Extra research section. :Axial position is following the torque. Angular momentum takes over. Its simply torque times delta T." Author notes, and topics open for your review. Greetings all, I have outlined key factors, that separate this model from main stream science. I would like to validate any responses to this topic. When dealing with terminology, it was stated many factors mainstream claimed may have been overlooked, ignored, assumed, and misleading, or out right lies.. It was said facts stated in this model do not fit in with current understanding on the subject. Have the virtues of science been ignored, along with the process, and steps necessary for functionality of a working model been distorted over the years? This is open for more available verifiable data. The major relations dealing with cause, and effect have been determined, and demonstrated. This followed by answering the questions that make valid relations, rather then assumptions science can not account for. In a manner of speaking, global warmers delimit the realm of analysis. They have lost there way, by not following self evident principles, and observation. Also by deliberately misleading the public, and by hiding real data that is used to determine these changes. Scoundrel. Everything is relative to the observer's point of reference in time and space. See Euclidean plane reference. Once it has been described in this language, it is actually a simple matter to extend its concept to arbitrary dimensions. It has an Axis of rotation. In one way the Earth is considered a closed system, in another it is open. refer to auroras, it is a result of an external force. A CME does cause induction of that energy into the ionosphere, that energy can indeed reach the surface as electric charge. I said it was closed, because I was relating to the atmosphere, assuming it did not leak into outer-space, but in reality it can. I include both perspectives Wiki Why are density and seismic velocity inversely proportional to one another? Very non-intuitive. Propagation through denser material. P wave. It is when the wave reaches a more liquified medium, that the propagating wave is dampened. ( secondary waves S wave: Damping effect). In the first case you may have trust type quake, because the energy has someplace to go. This is a more sever Earth quake. "Seismic wave Wiki :The S-wave moves as a shear or transverse wave, so motion is perpendicular to the direction of wave propagation: S-waves are like waves in a rope, as opposed to waves moving "through a slinky, the P-wave. The wave moves through elastic media, and the main restoring force comes from shear effects. These waves do not diverge, and they obey the continuity equation for incompressible media: Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image The shadow zone of a P-wave. S-waves don't penetrate the outer core, so they're shadowed everywhere more than 104° away from the epicenter (from USGS) Its name, S for secondary, comes from the fact that it is the second direct arrival on an earthquake seismogram, after the compressional primary wave, or P-wave, because S-waves travel slower in rock. Unlike the P-wave, the S-wave cannot travel through the molten outer core " "In continuum mechanics, stress is a measure of the internal forces acting within a deformable body. Quantitatively, it is a measure of the average force per unit area of a surface within the body on which internal forces act. These internal forces are a reaction to external forces applied on the body. Because the loaded deformable body is assumed to behave as a continuum, these internal forces are distributed continuously within the volume of the material body, and result in deformation of the body's shape. Beyond certain limits of material strength, this can lead to a permanent shape change or structural failure. However, models of continuum mechanics which explicitly express force as a variable generally fail to merge and describe deformation of matter and solid bodies, because the attributes of matter and solids are three dimensional. Classical models of continuum mechanics assume an average force and fail to properly incorporate "geometrical factors", which are important to describe stress distribution and accumulation of energy during the continuum. The dimension of stress is that of pressure, and therefore the SI unit for stress is the pascal (symbol Pa), which is equivalent to one newton (force) per square meter (unit area), that is N/m2. In Imperial units, stress is measured in pound-force per square inch, which is abbreviated as psi." "A stress energy tensor T^{mu,nu} is not the only thing that curves space-time. There is another curvature driving function Q^{mu,nu}. My friend Mzulu"said this is so. I think he is correct. In the same manner Earth reacts to the external torques as stresses. It is net force Inducing. 7.3 2011/12/14 05:04:57 -7.507 146.791 115.1 EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG, PAPUA NEW GUINEA Tuesday 13th December 2011 Marapi Volcano, Indonesia Marapi volcano in Sumatra, Indonesia has been raised to level 2 alert (out of a maximum 4). On 12th December there were 43 volcanic earthquakes measured at the volcano. A 1.5 radius exclusion zone has been placed around the volcano. Fountains of Methane 1,000 m Across Erupt From Arctic Ice Posted by Weston Ginther on December 18, 2011 at 5:44pm 'Fountains' of methane 1,000m across erupt from Arctic ice - a greenhouse gas 30 times more potent than carbon dioxide The Russian research vessel Academician Lavrentiev conducted a survey of 10,000 square miles of sea off the coast of eastern Siberia. They made a terrifying discovery - huge plumes of methane bubbles rising to the surface from the seabed. 'We found more than 100 fountains, some more than a kilometre across,' said Dr Igor Semiletov, 'These are methane fields on a scale not seen before. The emissions went directly into the atmosphere http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/a...z1guBpMFDA 6.6 2011/12/27 15:21:56 51.858 95.825 6.9 SOUTHWESTERN SIBERIA, RUSSIA confirmig information.Confused This event has been reviewed by a seismologist. Magnitude 7.0 Date-Time Sunday, January 01, 2012 at 05:27:54 UTC Sunday, January 01, 2012 at 02:27:54 PM at epicenter Location 31.416°N, 138.155°E Depth 348.5 km (216.6 miles) Region IZU ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION Distances 242 km (150 miles) SW of Hachijo-jima, Izu Islands, Japan 365 km (226 miles) S of Hamamatsu, Honshu, Japan 393 km (244 miles) S of Shizuoka, Honshu, Japan 495 km (307 miles) SSW of TOKYO, Japan In summery, we can now solve for continuum. As Maxwell.The dimension of stress is that of pressure, and therefore the SI unit for stress is the pascal (symbol Pa), which is equivalent to one newton (force) per square meter (unit area), that is N/m2. In Imperial units, stress is measured in pound-force per square inch, which is abbreviated as psi." "A stress energy tensor T^{mu,nu} is not the only thing that curves space-time. As it rotates earthquakes become time variable according to rotational speed. The axis it i pointing, it following the spinning top.. its simply slipping. its simply a stunning effect. There is a pressure of fluid within the core. Its simply splitting, its Humphrey Dummpie. Its described ,and self verifying. Its simply continues. Ice age cause, simple verifying model. Immediate determinations based on observation of the globe over time. After the axis has shifted 3 inches Feb 27-2010, and again 4 more on march 11-2011 scientific validating factors. The intimidate change is a constant in determining a cause. If someone has already done the math , or needs a solution of pointing axis, together with violent jerks from axial shift during the time eastern 3pm time usa. Furthermore We have all points of subduction zones. we also Se the earths magnetic field attracted to the secondary systems magnetic field, and charge in the ISCM. Earth will experience increased rotation speed, pointing of Earth axial is away, or to the northern direction pointing. According to pictures rated in the video provided. from the in the form of magnetic suspension. The position earth axial is pointing during a 6 hour period. The Movie provides a three demolition view. Also verifying the angle of momentum shows vector rotation, and angular momentum. The influence of net charge and the determine lens effect and cassimire effect reactions. Volcanic eruption time variable is predictable , And are now confirming the increase of volcanic eruption expected for the month of January through march 2012. The 3-D models current configuration together with the integration of images.Pictures of ongoing storms earthquakes other given effects, and telling mathematical solution.. Dynamic pressure. Can be solved together with predictable outcome in the near future. Subduction zones and country's in dire need for assistance. Its simply continues. continuum dynamic rotation. Summery conclusions. Ice age cause, simple verifying model. Immediate determinations based on observation of the globe over time. After the axis has shifted 3 inches. Feb 27-2010, and again 4 more on march 11-2011 scientific validating factors. The immediate change is used as a main determining factor, or the cause for immediate changes in weather, volcanic activity, and earthquake relations over the last 2 to 3 years. subduction zones due to torque. clearly the earths magnetic field is attracted to the secondary systems magnetic field interaction with all the planets in our solar system. Earth Has experienced increases, and decreases of rotation speed. The secondary system will reach its closes point, and a great Quake is therefore predicted, expected. Possibly by March 23 2012. Earths orbit crosses the horizontal plain according to the position, and alignments of charges, or the magnetic field lines of that secondary system in relation to local space, and earths current position of yearly orbit.. We must be closing in very quickly now. Today is feb 15 2012. The influence of net charge, and the determined lens effect, or Red shift cassimire effect influences Earths reaction to inductive forces causing eruptions. April to may we should see this increase in activity once again, according to time sensitive data over the last 2 to 3 years. Volcanic eruption time variable is predictable, confirming the increase of volcanic eruption expected for the month of January through march 2012. Not excluding April, and May 2012. The 3-D model has Pictures of ongoing storms earthquakes, and other given effects determined to be a direct relation to the increasing energy inductive forces. everything needed to make accurate prediction , calculate net charge, Observe gravitational lensing, or poynitng energy was included. A self generated system of mass. The inductive charge and movement through local space. Increasing pressure, Velocity, and changes of direction of Earths inner fluid. gaseous material releasing vast quantity of dangerous materials for all life. The Precession can now be solved as caused by an external torque, rather than caused by lunar or solar cycles alonePrecursor evidence for predictable binary relation. cassimire forces, poynting energy, other factor, solar x ray flux graph one, two, and three. Some of the research used as observations of solar energy, and magnetic field alignment are included. CCD BACKEOUT magnetic poles flip on the sun, and are in a process of change. Great quake prediction , annual great event. highest probability for such event is getting closer, evidence, data, and research point to this relation. Cause- and - effect. This would validate this relation 3-d model. But more can be learned through Astronomy. Below i included the solar process of change in solar rays, as they extend in all directions before confirming a pole change on the sun, and the relation to earths magnetic poles, and orbital trajectory as we near the spring equinox. march 2012. weather anomaly due to increased Earth rotational velocity together with decreases and, or axial change. ( External torque precession of equinox continues). vs net force , or torque interacting with Earths angular momentum with relation to the binary system magnetic field and position. continuity, and net force inducing , induction, increases in solar mass, and energy.. the information on solar flairs below, are in close accord with the 2 previous years of data obtained. 20 days perhaps before the second solar outbreak is recorded, and reported.My update for second solar outbreak as expected according to the 2 previous years. I will add the charts as they are reported over the next several days. MAP 7.6 2012/03/20 18:02:49 16.662 -98.188 17.5 OAXACA, MEXICO MAP 6.2 2012/03/20 17:56:19 -3.830 140.220 66.9 PAPUA, INDONESIA MAP 6.6 2012/03/21 22:15:06 -6.244 145.959 105.9 NEW GUINEA, PAPUA NEW GUINEA MAP 7.1 2012/03/25 22:37:07 -35.183 -71.792 34.8 MAULE, CHILE MAP 6.0 2012/03/26 18:12:54 10.198 -104.030 9.9 NORTHERN EAST PACIFIC RISE (Central Chile Rocked By 7.2 Earthquake by The Associated Press March 25, 2012) (A magnitude-7.1 earthquake struck central Chile Sunday night, the strongest and longest that many people said they had felt since a huge quake devastated the area two years ago. Some people were injured by falling ceiling material, but there were no reports of major damage or deaths due to quake-related accidents. The quake struck at 7:30 p.m. about 16 miles north-northwest of Talca, a city of more than 200,000 people where residents said the shaking lasted about a minute.) Solar flares. or x ray flux. for the first time since i have been monitoring no data for the 22 of march. the first M class flare was today march 23 2012. At this point in the time frame. iT should be expected .( great earthquake) further tilt in axis. The data should mirror the previous 2 years obtained. ( two solar out break, two weather outbreaks world wide.) Tornadoes cyclones high wind etc... Sad volcanic eruption. FIFTEEN million people of the northwestern Sumatran coastal strip and nearby islands slept nervously, if at all, last night after their region was shaken by two massive magnitude-8+ earthquakes that triggered tsunami warnings for the entire Indian Ocean rim. Magnitude-8+ quakes are counted as "great earthquakes" and, based on US Geological Survey data, they are expected to occur anywhere on Earth just once a year. Sumatrans experienced two in 125 minutes yesterday, along with a series of aftershocks of magnitude-5 to magnitude-6 in between and after. The first quake, at 3.38pm local time (6.38pm AEST), registered 8.6 on the Richter scale, with an epicentre 434km southwest of Aceh province's capital, Banda Aceh. One of the 10 largest-magnitude earthquakes ever measured, off a coast repeatedly and devastatingly smashed by tsunami waves, the shock sparked fears of a repeat of the magnitude-9.1 quake and tsunami of Boxing Day 2004 that killed 230,000 people around the Indian Ocean, 170,000 of them in Aceh province. Initial local alert warnings were issued for waves exceeding 6m. Rec Coverage 28 Day pass Start of sidebar. Skip to end of sidebar. Recommended Coverage quake Tsunami 'less likely' this time Earthquake in Indonesia End of sidebar. Return to start of sidebar. The US Pacific Tsunami Warning Centre issued a tsunami watch for Indonesia, India, Sri Lanka, Australia, Burma, Thailand, Maldives, Britain, Malaysia, Reunion, Seychelles, Pakistan, Somalia, Oman, Madagascar, Iran, United Arab Emirates, Yemen, Comores, Bangladesh, Tanzania, Mozambique, Kenya, Crozet Islands, Kerguelen Islands, South Africa and Singapore. The magnitude-8.6 tremor was felt as far afield as Thailand and southern India. According to the Joint Australian Tsunami Warning Centre, however, there was no tsunami threat to Australia. Having suffered the brunt of the 2004 disaster, the populations of Aceh, North and West Sumatra's coastal strip, and the provincial and offshore islands, scrambled immediately for higher ground. There were some reports of panic and hospital evacuations from Padang and Medan. Power supplies shut down automatically in Banda Aceh and surrounding districts and telephone communications with the coast were disrupted, but almost miraculously there appeared to be no substantial damage or injuries from the initial quake. The tsunami wave - when it came to the coast about an hour later - registered a peak of 1.06m at Meulaboh on the southern Aceh coast. The nature of the tremor - a strike-slip quake, where the rupture between the blocks of earth is almost vertical and the two pieces of the earth's crust slide past each other horizontally - greatly reduced the likelihood of a tsunami. The devastating waves are usually caused by the vertical displacement of a tectonic plate, but can also be caused by underwater landslides. About 90 minutes after the first shock, President Bambang Susilo Yudhoyono said during a nationally televised press conference, "there is no tsunami threat, although we are on alert". Another 2 1/2 hours later, the Pacific Tsunami Warning Centre removed the alert for both 8+ quakes. Parluatan Siregar, police chief of Simeulue, an island last battered by tsunami in October 2010, told Detik.com, an online news service, that "some buildings are cracked". There were no initial reports of deaths or injuries although emergency services teams were sent immediately from Jakarta. Then, at 4.43pm, as people were returning to their homes and workplaces breathless but unscathed, a magnitude-8.2 quake struck, its epicentre 618km south-southwest of Banda Aceh. A second wave of tusnami alarms was sounded. Equally remarkably, there were no initial reports of significant damage injury, although coastal communities again battened down against the risk of a big tsunami. The Indian National Centre for Ocean Information Service issued a red high-level warning for the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, and also put out lower alerts for the coasts of Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu states in the southeast of the country. Thailand's disaster centre on Wednesday put provinces along the Andaman coastline on watch for a possible tsunami. It advised people in the area, which was battered by the 2004 tsunami, to move to higher places and stay as far away as possible from the sea. Smith Dhamasoroja, of the Thai National Disaster Warning Foundation, predicted that the earthquake was of such a magnitude that it would create a tsunami that would "definitely" reach Thailand. Flights to Phuket were diverted to other airports as passengers and staff were evacuated to higher ground. In Sri Lanka tremors were felt across the country, including western and southern provinces following the earthquake. A Sri Lankan government official said disaster management authorities had advised people in coastal communities, particularly in previously tsunami-struck areas such as Batticaloa and Trincomalee in the country's northeast, to move away from the coast although he stressed at this stage it was still only advice. Indonesia is on the so-called Ring of Fire, an arc of fault lines circling the Pacific Basin that is prone to frequent earthquakes and volcanic eruptions. Last year, a magnitude-9 quake caused a tsunami and nuclear disaster in Japan, killing 19,000 people. Additional reporting: Telly Nathalia, Nicolas Perpitch, Amanda Hodge Update time = Wed Apr 11 15:15:28 UTC 2012 MAP 6.9 2012/04/12 07:15:49 28.790 -113.142 10.3 GULF OF CALIFORNIA MAP 6.2 2012/04/12 07:06:01 28.841 -113.072 10.1 GULF OF CALIFORNIA MAP 6.5 2012/04/11 22:55:11 18.272 -102.732 20.0 MICHOACAN, MEXICO MAP 5.3 2012/04/11 14:54:29 1.336 91.841 11.9 NORTH INDIAN OCEAN MAP 5.3 2012/04/11 14:34:19 1.504 90.894 14.4 NORTH INDIAN OCEAN MAP 5.0 2012/04/11 14:26:27 2.287 92.385 9.4 OFF THE WEST COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA MAP 5.0 2012/04/11 14:18:45 2.569 92.296 10.3 OFF THE WEST COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA MAP 5.2 2012/04/11 14:08:41 1.147 92.158 9.6 OFF THE WEST COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA MAP 5.5 2012/04/11 13:58:07 1.493 90.889 13.7 NORTH INDIAN OCEAN MAP 5.3 2012/04/11 13:42:41 2.199 93.623 10.7 OFF THE WEST COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA MAP 5.0 2012/04/11 13:19:37 2.296 90.342 17.5 OFF THE WEST COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA MAP 5.1 2012/04/11 12:37:48 2.528 92.602 10.0 OFF THE WEST COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA MAP 5.1 2012/04/11 12:21:58 3.136 92.775 9.9 OFF THE WEST COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA MAP 5.1 2012/04/11 12:10:53 1.385 92.639 10.4 OFF THE WEST COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA MAP 5.7 2012/04/11 11:53:37 2.929 89.534 14.9 NORTH INDIAN OCEAN MAP 5.3 2012/04/11 11:52:29 0.989 91.942 14.9 NORTH INDIAN OCEAN MAP 5.4 2012/04/11 11:34:02 0.743 92.865 15.5 OFF THE WEST COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA MAP 5.4 2012/04/11 11:29:00 -56.847 -27.966 259.0 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION MAP 8.2 2012/04/11 10:43:09 0.773 92.452 16.4 OFF THE WEST COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA MAP 5.4 2012/04/11 10:36:55 1.072 91.943 15.5 NORTH INDIAN OCEAN MAP 5.4 2012/04/11 10:21:16 2.833 92.476 14.8 OFF THE WEST COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA MAP 5.1 2012/04/11 10:08:30 2.646 90.084 16.1 OFF THE WEST COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA MAP 5.3 2012/04/11 10:01:20 2.499 90.365 20.0 OFF THE WEST COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA MAP 5.3 2012/04/11 09:51:42 2.510 90.316 20.0 OFF THE WEST COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA MAP 6.0 2012/04/11 09:27:57 1.281 91.731 9.8 NORTH INDIAN OCEAN MAP 5.5 2012/04/11 09:00:13 51.518 -176.312 56.5 ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS., ALASKA MAP 8.6 2012/04/11 08:38:37 2.311 93.063 22.9 OFF THE WEST COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA MAP 5.3 2012/04/11 07:41:46 -6.227 130.158 132.2 BANDA SEA MAP 5.1 2012/04/11 05:44:42 -16.900 -14.406 10.5 SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE MAP 5.2 2012/04/11 04:53:26 -16.822 -14.440 9.7 SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE MAP 5.8 2012/04/10 05:09:09 -1.148 -13.968 9.9 NORTH OF ASCENSION ISLAND MAP 5.4 2012/04/08 21:43:32 24.094 122.303 25.5 TAIWAN REGION MAP 5.0 2012/04/07 20:37:52 1.034 -28.110 10.0 CENTRAL MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE MAP 5.2 2012/04/07 20:09:40 -6.067 130.687 76.4 BANDA SEA MAP 5.8 2012/04/07 11:58:08 -6.785 149.549 39.6 NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA MAP 5.5 2012/04/06 19:24:13 -3.376 100.453 5.5 KEPULAUAN MENTAWAI REGION, INDONESIA MAP 6.2 2012/04/06 16:15:56 -4.534 153.497 85.4 NEW IRELAND REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA MAP 5.5 2012/04/04 20:27:29 -4.030 152.091 16.7 NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEAConfused New Activity/Unrest BATU TARA Komba Island (Indonesia) 7.792°S, 123.579°E; summit elev. 748 m Based on analyses of satellite imagery, the Darwin VAAC reported that during 25-26 April ash plumes from Batu Tara rose to an altitude of 2.4 km (8,000 ft) a.s.l. and drifted 37 km W and SW. During 30 April-1 May ash plumes again rose to an altitude of 2.4 km (8,000 ft) a.s.l. then drifted 37-55 km NW. Geologic Summary. The small isolated island of Batu Tara in the Flores Sea about 50 km north of Lembata (formerly Lomblen) Island contains a scarp on the eastern side similar to the Sciara del Fuoco of Italy's Stromboli volcano. Vegetation covers the flanks of Batu Tara to within 50 m of the 748-m-high summit. Batu Tara lies north of the main volcanic arc and is noted for its potassic leucite-bearing basanitic and tephritic rocks. The first historical eruption from Batu Tara, during 1847-52, produced explosions and a lava flow. Map Source: Darwin Volcanic Ash Advisory Centre (VAAC) Batu Tara Information from the Global Volcanism Program CLEVELAND Chuginadak Island 52.825°N, 169.944°W; summit elev. 1730 m AVO reported that elevated surface temperatures were detected over Cleveland in satellite imagery during 25-29 April and possibly on 30 April. Observations showed that a small lava dome, 25 m across, had recently been emplaced. Geologic Summary. Symmetrical Mount Cleveland stratovolcano is situated at the western end of the uninhabited dumbbell-shaped Chuginadak Island in the east-central Aleutians. The 1,730-m-high stratovolcano is the highest of the Islands of Four Mountains group and is one of the most active in the Aleutians. Numerous large lava flows descend its flanks. It is possible that some 18th to 19th century eruptions attributed to Carlisle (a volcano located across the Carlisle Pass Strait to the NW) should be ascribed to Cleveland. In 1944 Cleveland produced the only known fatality from an Aleutian eruption. Recent eruptions from Mt. Cleveland have been characterized by short-lived explosive ash emissions, at times accompanied by lava fountaining and lava flows down the flanks. Map Source: Alaska Volcano Observatory (AVO) Cleveland Information from the Global Volcanism Program IOTO [IWO-JIMA] Volcano Islands (Japan) 24.754°N, 141.290°E; summit elev. 161 m According to a JMA report on 2 May, an eruption at Ioto (Iwo-jima) caused water discoloration to the NE. A new fumarole was also confirmed. Geologic Summary. Ioto (also known as Iwo-jima) in the central Volcano Islands portion of the Izu-Marianas arc lies within a 9-km-wide submarine caldera. Ioto, Iwo-jima, and Io-jima are among many transliterations of the name, which means "Sulfur Island;" the volcano is also known as Ogasawara Io-jima to distinguish it from several other "Sulfur Island" volcanoes in Japan. The triangular, low-elevation, 8-km-long island narrows toward its SW tip and has produced trachyandesitic and trachytic rocks that are more alkalic than those of other Izu-Marianas arc volcanoes. The island has undergone dramatic uplift for at least the past 700 years accompanying resurgent doming of the caldera. A shoreline landed upon by Captain Cook's surveying crew in 1779 is now 40 m above sea level. The Moto-yama plateau on the NE half of the island consists of submarine tuffs overlain by coral deposits and forms the island's high point. Many fumaroles are oriented along a NE-SW zone cutting through Moto-yama. Numerous historical phreatic eruptions, many from vents on the west and NW sides of the island, have accompanied the remarkable uplift. Map Source: Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA) Ioto [Iwo-jima] Information from the Global Volcanism Program LOKON-EMPUNG Sulawesi 1.358°N, 124.792°E; summit elev. 1580 m According to the Darwin VAAC, ash plumes from Lokon-Empung, that rose to an altitude of 3.7 km (12,000 ft) a.s.l. and drifted 75 km N, were detected in satellite imagery and reported by ground-based observers. Geologic Summary. The twin volcanoes Lokon and Empung, rising about 800 m above the plain of Tondano, are among the most active volcanoes of Sulawesi. Lokon, the higher of the two peaks (whose summits are only 2.2 km apart) has a flat, craterless top. The morphologically younger Empung volcano has a 400-m-wide, 150-m-deep crater that erupted last in the 18th century, but all subsequent eruptions have originated from Tompaluan, a 150 x 250 m wide double crater situated in the saddle between the two peaks. Historical eruptions have primarily produced small-to-moderate ash plumes that have occasionally damaged croplands and houses, but lava-dome growth and pyroclastic flows have also occurred. Map Source: Center of Volcanology and Geological Hazard Mitigation (CVGHM) Lokon-Empung Information from the Global Volcanism Program POPOCATEPETL México 19.023°N, 98.622°W; summit elev. 5426 m CENAPRED reported that gas-and-steam plumes, occasionally containing ash, rose from Popocatépetl during 25-29 April. Gas-and-ash plumes rose 1.5 km above the crater on 25 and 27 April. On 28 April incandescent fragments ejected from the crater landed on E flank as far as 1 km. The next day steam-and-gas plume rose from the crater. On 1 May gas-and-steam plumes, that occasionally contained low amounts of ash, and rose 1 km above the crater. The Alert Level remained at Yellow Phase Three. Geologic Summary. Popocatépetl, whose name is the Aztec word for smoking mountain, towers to 5,426 m 70 km SE of Mexico City and is North America's second-highest volcano. Frequent historical eruptions have been recorded since the beginning of the Spanish colonial era. A small eruption on 21 December 1994 ended five decades of quiescence. Since 1996 small lava domes have incrementally been constructed within the summit crater and destroyed by explosive eruptions. Intermittent small-to-moderate gas-and-ash eruptions have continued, occasionally producing ashfall in neighboring towns and villages. March 29 New Activity/Unrest BATU TARA Komba Island (Indonesia) 7.792°S, 123.579°E; summit elev. 748 m Based on analyses of satellite imagery, the Darwin VAAC reported that during 25-26 April ash plumes from Batu Tara rose to an altitude of 2.4 km (8,000 ft) a.s.l. and drifted 37 km W and SW. During 30 April-1 May ash plumes again rose to an altitude of 2.4 km (8,000 ft) a.s.l. then drifted 37-55 km NW. Geologic Summary. The small isolated island of Batu Tara in the Flores Sea about 50 km north of Lembata (formerly Lomblen) Island contains a scarp on the eastern side similar to the Sciara del Fuoco of Italy's Stromboli volcano. Vegetation covers the flanks of Batu Tara to within 50 m of the 748-m-high summit. Batu Tara lies north of the main volcanic arc and is noted for its potassic leucite-bearing basanitic and tephritic rocks. The first historical eruption from Batu Tara, during 1847-52, produced explosions and a lava flow. Map Source: Darwin Volcanic Ash Advisory Centre (VAAC) Batu Tara Information from the Global Volcanism Program CLEVELAND Chuginadak Island 52.825°N, 169.944°W; summit elev. 1730 m AVO reported that elevated surface temperatures were detected over Cleveland in satellite imagery during 25-29 April and possibly on 30 April. Observations showed that a small lava dome, 25 m across, had recently been emplaced. Geologic Summary. Symmetrical Mount Cleveland stratovolcano is situated at the western end of the uninhabited dumbbell-shaped Chuginadak Island in the east-central Aleutians. The 1,730-m-high stratovolcano is the highest of the Islands of Four Mountains group and is one of the most active in the Aleutians. Numerous large lava flows descend its flanks. It is possible that some 18th to 19th century eruptions attributed to Carlisle (a volcano located across the Carlisle Pass Strait to the NW) should be ascribed to Cleveland. In 1944 Cleveland produced the only known fatality from an Aleutian eruption. Recent eruptions from Mt. Cleveland have been characterized by short-lived explosive ash emissions, at times accompanied by lava fountaining and lava flows down the flanks. Map Source: Alaska Volcano Observatory (AVO) Cleveland Information from the Global Volcanism Program IOTO [IWO-JIMA] Volcano Islands (Japan) 24.754°N, 141.290°E; summit elev. 161 m According to a JMA report on 2 May, an eruption at Ioto (Iwo-jima) caused water discoloration to the NE. A new fumarole was also confirmed. Geologic Summary. Ioto (also known as Iwo-jima) in the central Volcano Islands portion of the Izu-Marianas arc lies within a 9-km-wide submarine caldera. Ioto, Iwo-jima, and Io-jima are among many transliterations of the name, which means "Sulfur Island;" the volcano is also known as Ogasawara Io-jima to distinguish it from several other "Sulfur Island" volcanoes in Japan. The triangular, low-elevation, 8-km-long island narrows toward its SW tip and has produced trachyandesitic and trachytic rocks that are more alkalic than those of other Izu-Marianas arc volcanoes. The island has undergone dramatic uplift for at least the past 700 years accompanying resurgent doming of the caldera. A shoreline landed upon by Captain Cook's surveying crew in 1779 is now 40 m above sea level. The Moto-yama plateau on the NE half of the island consists of submarine tuffs overlain by coral deposits and forms the island's high point. Many fumaroles are oriented along a NE-SW zone cutting through Moto-yama. Numerous historical phreatic eruptions, many from vents on the west and NW sides of the island, have accompanied the remarkable uplift. Map Source: Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA) Ioto [Iwo-jima] Information from the Global Volcanism Program LOKON-EMPUNG Sulawesi 1.358°N, 124.792°E; summit elev. 1580 m According to the Darwin VAAC, ash plumes from Lokon-Empung, that rose to an altitude of 3.7 km (12,000 ft) a.s.l. and drifted 75 km N, were detected in satellite imagery and reported by ground-based observers. Geologic Summary. The twin volcanoes Lokon and Empung, rising about 800 m above the plain of Tondano, are among the most active volcanoes of Sulawesi. Lokon, the higher of the two peaks (whose summits are only 2.2 km apart) has a flat, craterless top. The morphologically younger Empung volcano has a 400-m-wide, 150-m-deep crater that erupted last in the 18th century, but all subsequent eruptions have originated from Tompaluan, a 150 x 250 m wide double crater situated in the saddle between the two peaks. Historical eruptions have primarily produced small-to-moderate ash plumes that have occasionally damaged croplands and houses, but lava-dome growth and pyroclastic flows have also occurred. Map Source: Center of Volcanology and Geological Hazard Mitigation (CVGHM) Lokon-Empung Information from the Global Volcanism Program POPOCATEPETL México 19.023°N, 98.622°W; summit elev. 5426 m CENAPRED reported that gas-and-steam plumes, occasionally containing ash, rose from Popocatépetl during 25-29 April. Gas-and-ash plumes rose 1.5 km above the crater on 25 and 27 April. On 28 April incandescent fragments ejected from the crater landed on E flank as far as 1 km. The next day steam-and-gas plume rose from the crater. On 1 May gas-and-steam plumes, that occasionally contained low amounts of ash, and rose 1 km above the crater. The Alert Level remained at Yellow Phase Three. Geologic Summary. Popocatépetl, whose name is the Aztec word for smoking mountain, towers to 5,426 m 70 km SE of Mexico City and is North America's second-highest volcano. Frequent historical eruptions have been recorded since the beginning of the Spanish colonial era. A small eruption on 21 December 1994 ended five decades of quiescence. Since 1996 small lava domes have incrementally been constructed within the summit crater and destroyed by explosive eruptions. Intermittent small-to-moderate gas-and-ash eruptions have continued, occasionally producing ashfall in neighboring towns and villages. Volcano News - John Seach June 2012 john Monitoring worldwide volcanic activity 12 years on the internet - 2000-2012 Reports are posted in Eastern Australian Time (UT +10 hr). Archived Volcano News Wednesday 6th June 2012 Manam Volcano, Papua New Guinea Activity has increased at Manam volcano in Papua New Guinea. Explosions have been heard on the mainland 15 km away, and a skyglow was visible at night. More on Manam volcano... Volcanoes of Papua New Guinea... Tuesday 29th May 2012 Soputan Volcano, Indonesia The alert status at Soputan volcano, Indonesia was increased from level 2 (waspada) to level 3 (siaga) on 28th May 2012. Seismic activity has increased significantly over the past 4 days with avalanche earthquakes averaging 60 per day. Potential hazards at the volcano include lava dome phreatic explosion, pyroclastic flows, and ashfall. A 6 km exclusion zone has been placed around the volcano. More on Soputan volcano... Volcanoes of Indonesia... Friday 25th May 2012 Popocatepetl Volcano, Mexico Activity at Popocatepetl volcano, Mexico remains high. On 24th May 2012 emissions reached a height of 800 m above the crater. Periods of harmonic tremor have been accompanied by ejection of incandescent fragments of lava 500 m down the flanks of the volcano. The alert status remains at level 3. This means the lava dome remains active and continued explosive eruptions are possible. More on Popocatepetl volcano... Volcanoes of Mexico... Friday 25th May 2012 Kilauea Volcano, Hawaii The level of the summit lava lake has dropped at Kilauea volcano, Hawaii. This has coincided with deflation of the volcano. Twelve earthquakes were recorded at the volcano over the past day. The overall seismicity at the volcano remains low. Lava flows continue on the pali and coastal plain along the east rift zone. Lava flows move towards the ocean, but there is no lava ocen entry at present. A fissure eruption which occurred on the east rift zone on September 21, 2011 drained the lava lake in Pu'u O'o crater. The subsequent lava flow moved through the abandoned Royal Gardens subdivision, destroying the remaining house in the area. More on Kilauea volcano... Volcanoes of Hawaii... Friday 25th May 2012 Ijen Volcano, Indonesia The alert status at Ijen volcano, Indonesia was decreased from level 3 (siaga) to level 2 (waspada) on 13th May 2012. Volcanic tremor decreased from the beginning of April until 13th May 2012. A 1 km exclusion zone remains around the crater lake. It is recommended that tourists and miners about the crater. More on Ijen volcano... Volcanoes of Indonesia... Friday 25th May 2012 Sirung Volcano, Indonesia A small ash eruption occurred at Sirung volcano Indonesia on 8th May 2012. The eruption lasted for 3 hours and was accompanied by a burst of sound and incandescent material ejected 10m above the crater. Ashfall occurred 3.5 km north of the volcano to a depth of 4mm. The smell of sulphur detected 3km north of the crater. On 12th May 2012 the alert status at Sirung volcano was raised from level 2 (waspada) to level 3 (siaga). A 2.5 km exclusion zone has been planed around the volcano. More on Sirung volcano... Volcanoes of Indonesia... Friday 25th May 2012 Fuego Volcano, Guatemala Activity continues at Fuego volcano, Guatemala. On 23rd May 2012 there were explosions and ash columns rising 700 m above the crater. At night glowing avalanches occurred, and were accompanied by rumbling explosions and shockwaves. Lava flows have almost disappeared. More on Fuego volcano... Volcanoes of Guatemala... Friday 25th May 2012 Santa Maria Volcano, Guatemala Activity continues at Santa Maria volcano, Guatemala. On 23rd May 2012 explosions and ash emissions reached a height of 800 m above the crater. More on Santa Maria volcano... Volcanoes of Guatemala... Thursday 3rd May 2012 Lokon Volcano, Indonesia An eruption occurred at Lokon volcano on 1st May 2012. The eruption occurred at 11:55 am, local time and was accompanied by ashfall over a radius of 2.5 km from Tompaluan crater. More on Lokon volcano... Volcanoes of Indonesia... Quick Links Breaking News World Volcanoes Adventure Travel Film and Television Photos Volcanology Live Cams Contact This model would be useless if it could not predict, or back up the scientific principles with real data in the form of quakes, and volcanic eruption. Because it predicts these as time variable I get the results as expected. I have to Update this due to the recent earthquake that struck Italy last week. will continue. This is a progression of activity. This has progressed in the opposite direction of earths rotation. continuity torquing. These earthquakes progressing west from California, ending in California. I suspect this is the case. I have 1 question to leave hanging. has the lunar precession completed in 28 month? starting in February 2010? needs validation... Italy should see continued activity over a 6 to 18 month period. I must however summarize California as the last building block of the puzzle. Mountain building. Last in the chain of Earthquakes, starting in the Hatti region, and continuing west to Japan, and Siberia. the progression there was very quick in my opinion. Observations of 3 to 7 months time frame. I am expecting King tides for July august, and September. quake activity in October through February. and Another great quake for 2013. perhaps up to 40 days late.. At the end of May, beginning June 2013 Great quake four. If not up to 40 days earlier then the FEB 27, 2010 chili quake. Even Jan 12 to Feb 27 2013 this Great quake could occur.. Ring the bell two times. This would mark the astronomical event as fact for validation purposes. December, and January 7.0 or greater quakes. and the solar outburst once starting in February. Edd Lee on Sweet 16 may be significant. marking the half way point perhaps. There is much more information learned that has not been posted, or mentions. The Mid Atlantic ridge to feel some quakes. alaska will also, and Alaskan volcanoes may blow. central usa fault comes next. All at once perhaps Baja, cali northern Cali, and chili. from east to west. The activity of quakes if that was to occur will be more damaging after the fact, as the entire region would be building up.. The Sahara mountains formed in this manner? Thanks guys. If you have any questions to the current information give a shout.AngelAngel May volcanic information. New Activity/Unrest FUEGO Guatemala 14.473°N, 90.880°W; summit elev. 3763 m INSIVUMEH reported that on 6 June lahars descended Fuego's El Jute (SE), Las Lajas (SE), Ceniza (SSW), Santa Teresa (S), and Taniluyá (SW) drainages, and destroyed roads in Yepocapa (8 km WNW). During 6-7 June explosions produced ash plumes that rose 200-500 m above the crater and drifted N, and 12 km S and SW. Lava flows on the SE flank were about 800-900 m long in the Las Lajas drainage, 600 m long in the El Jute drainage, and 250 m long on the SW flank, and produced blocks that rolled and reached vegetated areas. The explosions were accompanied by rumbling sounds and shock waves that were detected in areas 10 km away, including Panimaché and Morelia (~8 km SW). During 10-11 June an ash plume rose 1.5 km above the crater and drifted 15 km W and NW. Ashfall was reported in Panimaché I and II, Sangre de Cristo (8 km WSW), Yepocápa, and other villages nearby. Lava flows traveled 1.6 km down Taniluyá drainage, 1 km down the Ceniza drainage, and 1.5 km down Las Lajas. Pyroclastic flows descended Las Lajas. During 11-12 June explosions generated ash plumes that rose 300 m above the crater and drifted W. Lava flows traveled 300 m down the Taniluyá drainage. Incandescence rose 100 m. Geologic Summary. Volcán Fuego, one of Central America's most active volcanoes, is one of three large stratovolcanoes overlooking Guatemala's former capital, Antigua. The scarp of an older edifice, Meseta, lies between 3,763-m-high Fuego and its twin volcano to the N, Acatenango. Construction of Meseta volcano continued until the late Pleistocene or early Holocene, after which growth of the modern Fuego volcano continued the southward migration of volcanism that began at Acatenango. Frequent vigorous historical eruptions have been recorded at Fuego since the onset of the Spanish era in 1524, and have produced major ashfalls, along with occasional pyroclastic flows and lava flows. The last major explosive eruption from Fuego took place in 1974, producing spectacular pyroclastic flows visible from Antigua. Map Source: Instituto Nacional de Sismologia, Vulcanologia, Meteorologia, e Hidrologia (INSIVUMEH) Fuego Information from the Global Volcanism Program GALERAS Colombia 1.22°N, 77.37°W; summit elev. 4276 m On 5 June INGEOMINAS reported that seismicity at Galeras increased since the previous week and indicated continuing ash and gas emissions. Ash originated from an area N and W of the cone within the main crater and was emitted in a pulsating manner. Ash was deposited on the NW flanks. Ash emissions were especially frequent on 2 and 5 June, with plumes rising 1 km above the crater. The Alert Level remained at III (Yellow; "changes in the behavior of volcanic activity"). Geologic Summary. Galeras, a stratovolcano with a large breached caldera located immediately W of the city of Pasto, is one of Colombia's most frequently active volcanoes. The dominantly andesitic Galeras volcanic complex has been active for more than 1 million years, and two major caldera collapse eruptions took place during the late Pleistocene. Longterm extensive hydrothermal alteration has affected the volcano. This has contributed to large-scale edifice collapse that has occurred on at least three occasions, producing debris avalanches that swept to the W and left a large horseshoe-shaped caldera inside which the modern cone has been constructed. Major explosive eruptions since the mid Holocene have produced widespread tephra deposits and pyroclastic flows that swept all but the southern flanks. A central cone slightly lower than the caldera rim has been the site of numerous small-to-moderate historical eruptions since the time of the Spanish conquistadors. Map Source: Instituto Colombiano de Geología y Minería (INGEOMINAS) Galeras Information from the Global Volcanism Program NEVADO DEL RUIZ Colombia 4.895°N, 75.322°W; summit elev. 5321 m According to INGEOMINAS, the Observatorio Vulcanológico and Sismológico de Manizales reported that a satellite image of Nevado del Ruiz acquired on 6 June showed an ash plume rising from the crater and drifting NW, and ash deposits on the N, NW, W and SW flanks. Based on analysis of satellite imagery and information from INGEOMINAS, the Washington VAAC reported that gas plumes possibly containing some ash drifted 75-110 km W, WNW, and N during 7 and 9-10 June. Ash plumes drifted almost 30 km SE on 8 June. INGEOMINAS reported that on 11 June seismic signals indicated continuing ash emissions. The Alert Level remained at II (Orange; "eruption likely within days or weeks"). Geologic Summary. Nevado del Ruiz is a broad, glacier-covered volcano in central Colombia that covers >200 sq km. Three major edifices, composed of andesitic and dacitic lavas and andesitic pyroclastics, have been constructed since the beginning of the Pleistocene. The modern cone consists of a broad cluster of lava domes built within the summit caldera of an older Ruiz volcano. The 1-km-wide, 240-m-deep Arenas crater occupies the summit. Steep headwalls of massive landslides cut the flanks of Nevado del Ruiz. Melting of its summit icecap during historical eruptions, which date back to the 16th century, has resulted in devastating lahars, including one in 1985 that was South America's deadliest eruption. Map Sources: Instituto Colombiano de Geología y Minería (INGEOMINAS), Washington Volcanic Ash Advisory Center (VAAC) Nevado del Ruiz Information from the Global Volcanism Program POAS Costa Rica 10.20°N, 84.233°W; summit elev. 2708 m OVSICORI-UNA reported that phreatic eruptions at Poás occurred on 6, 15, 20 and 26 May. The eruption on 15 May was preceded by about 6 hours of very-low amplitude harmonic tremor. Administrators of the Poás Volcano National Park witnessed the eruption and reported that sediment, water, rock fragments, and plumes were ejected 500 m above the lake surface. The level of the lake dropped ~0.9 m between 8 and 29 May. Geologic Summary. The broad, well-vegetated edifice of Poás, one of the most active volcanoes of Costa Rica, contains three craters along a N-S line. The frequently visited multi-hued summit crater lakes of the basaltic-to-dacitic volcano, which is one of Costa Rica's most prominent natural landmarks, are easily accessible by vehicle from the nearby capital city of San José. A N-S-trending fissure cutting the 2,708-m-high complex stratovolcano extends to the lower northern flank, where it has produced the Congo stratovolcano and several lake-filled maars. The southernmost of the two summit crater lakes, Botos, is cold and clear and last erupted about 7,500 years ago. The more prominent geothermally heated northern lake, Laguna Caliente, is one of the world's most acidic natural lakes, with a pH of near zero. It has been the site of frequent phreatic and phreatomagmatic eruptions since the first historical eruption was reported in 1828. Poás eruptions often include geyser-like ejection of crater-lake water. Map Source: Observatorio Vulcanologico y Sismologico de Costa Rica-Universidad Nacional (OVSICORI-UNA) Poás Information from the Global Volcanism Program Ongoing Activity BAGANA Bougainville 6.140°S, 155.195°E; summit elev. 1750 m Based on analyses of satellite imagery, the Darwin VAAC reported that on 10 June ash plumes from Bagana rose to an altitude of 2.4 km (8,000 ft) a.s.l. and drifted 45-130 km SW. Geologic Summary. Bagana volcano, occupying a remote portion of central Bougainville Island, is one of Melanesia's youngest and most active volcanoes. Bagana is a massive symmetrical lava cone largely constructed by an accumulation of viscous andesitic lava flows. The entire lava cone could have been constructed in about 300 years at its present rate of lava production. Eruptive activity at Bagana is characterized by non-explosive effusion of viscous lava that maintains a small lava dome in the summit crater, although explosive activity occasionally producing pyroclastic flows also occurs. Lava flows form dramatic, freshly preserved tongue-shaped lobes up to 50-m-thick with prominent levees that descend the volcano's flanks on all sides. Map Tuesday 29th May 2012 Soputan Volcano, Indonesia The alert status at Soputan volcano, Indonesia was increased from level 2 (waspada) to level 3 (siaga) on 28th May 2012. Seismic activity has increased significantly over the past 4 days with avalanche earthquakes averaging 60 per day. Potential hazards at the volcano include lava dome phreatic explosion, pyroclastic flows, and ashfall. A 6 km exclusion zone has been placed around the volcano. More on Soputan volcano... Volcanoes of Indonesia... Friday 25th May 2012 Popocatepetl Volcano, Mexico Activity at Popocatepetl volcano, Mexico remains high. On 24th May 2012 emissions reached a height of 800 m above the crater. Periods of harmonic tremor have been accompanied by ejection of incandescent fragments of lava 500 m down the flanks of the volcano. The alert status remains at level 3. This means the lava dome remains active and continued explosive eruptions are possible. More on Popocatepetl volcano... Volcanoes of Mexico... Friday 25th May 2012 Kilauea Volcano, Hawaii The level of the summit lava lake has dropped at Kilauea volcano, Hawaii. This has coincided with deflation of the volcano. Twelve earthquakes were recorded at the volcano over the past day. The overall seismicity at the volcano remains low. Lava flows continue on the pali and coastal plain along the east rift zone. Lava flows move towards the ocean, but there is no lava ocen entry at present. A fissure eruption which occurred on the east rift zone on September 21, 2011 drained the lava lake in Pu'u O'o crater. The subsequent lava flow moved through the abandoned Royal Gardens subdivision, destroying the remaining house in the area. More on Kilauea volcano... Volcanoes of Hawaii... Friday 25th May 2012 Ijen Volcano, Indonesia The alert status at Ijen volcano, Indonesia was decreased from level 3 (siaga) to level 2 (waspada) on 13th May 2012. Volcanic tremor decreased from the beginning of April until 13th May 2012. A 1 km exclusion zone remains around the crater lake. It is recommended that tourists and miners about the crater. More on Ijen volcano... Volcanoes of Indonesia... Friday 25th May 2012 Sirung Volcano, Indonesia A small ash eruption occurred at Sirung volcano Indonesia on 8th May 2012. The eruption lasted for 3 hours and was accompanied by a burst of sound and incandescent material ejected 10m above the crater. Ashfall occurred 3.5 km north of the volcano to a depth of 4mm. The smell of sulphur detected 3km north of the crater. On 12th May 2012 the alert status at Sirung volcano was raised from level 2 (waspada) to level 3 (siaga). A 2.5 km exclusion zone has been planed around the volcano. More on Sirung volcano... Volcanoes of Indonesia... Friday 25th May 2012 Fuego Volcano, Guatemala Activity continues at Fuego volcano, Guatemala. On 23rd May 2012 there were explosions and ash columns rising 700 m above the crater. At night glowing avalanches occurred, and were accompanied by rumbling explosions and shockwaves. Lava flows have almost disappeared. More on Fuego volcano... Volcanoes of Guatemala... Friday 25th May 2012 Santa Maria Volcano, Guatemala Activity continues at Santa Maria volcano, Guatemala. On 23rd May 2012 explosions and ash emissions reached a height of 800 m above the crater. More on Santa Maria volcano... Volcanoes of Guatemala... Thursday 3rd May 2012 Lokon Volcano, Indonesia An eruption occurred at Lokon volcano on 1st May 2012. The eruption occurred at 11:55 am, local time and was accompanied by ashfall over a radius of 2.5 km from Tompaluan crater. More on Lokon volcano... Volcanoes of Indonesia... Sunday 12th August 2012 Eruption from Unknown Undersea volcano, South Pacific A large amount of pumice has been observed floating in the South Pacific ocean 85 nautical miles west-south-west of Raoul Island. The pumice raft was first observed by an aircraft pilot on 1st August 2012. The pumice covered 25,000 square km. Crew on board the ship HMNZS Canterbury observed the pumice on 9th August. The source of the pumice has not been determined. More on Kermadec Islands volcanoes... Thursday 9th August 2012 White Island Volcano, New Zealand A tuff cone has started to build over the eruption site at White Island volcano. The eruption on 6th August 2012 was the first in 11 years. Small amounts of ash are being emitted from the active vent. Visitors to the island are at risk from further eruptions. The alert status remains at level 2 (on a scale of 0-5). More on White Island volcano... Volcanoes of New Zealand... Wednesday 8th August 2012 White Island Volcano, New Zealand A small eruption occurred at White Island volcano at 04:55 am on 6th August 2012. The eruption occurred at the crater lake and was preceded by strong volcanic tremor on 4-5 August. The crater lake had gradually emptied during 2011 and 2012, and the water level rose rapidly 3-5 m on 27-28 July 2012. The alert status at the volcano has been raised to level 2. More on White Island volcano... Volcanoes of New Zealand... Tuesday 7th August 2012 Tongariro Volcano, New Zealand Tongariro volcano erupted at 11:30 pm on 6th August 2012. The eruption occurred at Te Mari crater and lasted a few minutes and was followed by earthquakes over the next half hour. Activity subsided the following morning. Ketetahi Hut was destroyed by volcanic boulders 1 metre in diameter. The hut is located 1.5 km from the eruption. There were no hikers in the hut at the time of the eruption. All four national park huts around Mt Tongariro have been closed for safety reasons. No one was injured in the eruption. The alert status at Tongariro volcano has been raised to level 2. More on Tongariro volcano... Volcanoes of New Zealand... Monday 30th July 2012 Ijen Volcano, Indonesia The alert status at Ijen volcano, Indonesia was increased from level 2 (waspada) to level 3 (siaga) to on 24th July 2012. A 1.5 km exclusion zone has been placed around the crater lake. It is recommended that tourists and miners avoid entering the crater. More on Ijen volcano... Volcanoes of Indonesia... Friday 20th July 2012 Tongariro Volcano, New Zealand Beginning on 13th July 2012 small earthquakes were recorded under Tongariro volcano. The earthquakes were small (less than magnitude 2.5). The seismic activity was located in a cluster between Emerald crater and Te Mari crater at a depth of 2-7 km. More than 20 earthquakes were recorded between 13th-20th July 2012. This compares to a background rate of 2 per year. On 20th July 2012 the alert level at the volcano was raised from 0 to 1. More on Tongariro volcano... Volcanoes of New Zealand... Wednesday 18th July 2012 Fuego Volcano, Guatemala A new period of activity has begun at Fuego volcano, Guatemala. A 150 m long lava flow has appeared in the direction of Taniluyá ravine. The lava flow was accompanied by incandescent avalanches. Weak explosions in the crater sent ash emissions 600 m high, and drifting 10 km south and southwest. More on Fuego volcano... Volcanoes of Guatemala... Tuesday 17th July 2012 Merapi Volcano, Indonesia A small emission of ash occurred at Merapi volcano, Indonesia on 15th July 2012. The small eruption was not followed by other signs of unrest and the alert status remained unchanged. The eruption was caused by a small collapse of the lava dome which remains unstable after the 2010-11 eruptions. Ash emission reached a height of 1 km above the crater, and ashfall occurred at Jurang Jero and Srumbung. Climbers are advised to stay away from the summit. More on Merapi volcano... Volcanoes of Indonesia... Thursday 28th June 2012 Kilauea Volcano, Hawaii Eruptions are occurring at two locations at Kilauea volcano in Hawaii. On the east rift zone lava has descended the pali and is moving along the coastal plain. A summit lava lake is located at Halemaumau crater in a 160 m wide vent. More on Kilauea volcano... Volcanoes of Hawaii... Wednesday 6th June 2012 Manam Volcano, Papua New Guinea Activity has increased at Manam volcano in Papua New Guinea. Explosions have been heard on the mainland 15 km away, and a skyglow was visible at night. More on Manam volcano... Volcanoes of Papua New Guinea... Tuesday 29th May 2012 Soputan Volcano, Indonesia The alert status at Soputan volcano, Indonesia was increased from level 2 (waspada) to level 3 (siaga) on 28th May 2012. Seismic activity has increased significantly over the past 4 days with avalanche earthquakes averaging 60 per day. Potential hazards at the volcano include lava dome phreatic explosion, pyroclastic flows, and ashfall. A 6 km exclusion zone has been placed around the volcano. More on Soputan volcano... Volcanoes of Indonesia... Friday 25th May 2012 Popocatepetl Volcano, Mexico Activity at Popocatepetl volcano, Mexico remains high. On 24th May 2012 emissions reached a height of 800 m above the crater. Periods of harmonic tremor have been accompanied by ejection of incandescent fragments of lava 500 m down the flanks of the volcano. The alert status remains at level 3. This means the lava dome remains active and continued explosive eruptions are possible. More on Popocatepetl volcano... Volcanoes of Mexico... Friday 25th May 2012 Kilauea Volcano, Hawaii The level of the summit lava lake has dropped at Kilauea volcano, Hawaii. This has coincided with deflation of the volcano. Twelve earthquakes were recorded at the volcano over the past day. The overall seismicity at the volcano remains low. Lava flows continue on the pali and coastal plain along the east rift zone. Lava flows move towards the ocean, but there is no lava ocen entry at present. A fissure eruption which occurred on the east rift zone on September 21, 2011 drained the lava lake in Pu'u O'o crater. The subsequent lava flow moved through the abandoned Royal Gardens subdivision, destroying the remaining house in the area. More on Kilauea volcano... Volcanoes of Hawaii... Friday 25th May 2012 Ijen Volcano, Indonesia The alert status at Ijen volcano, Indonesia was decreased from level 3 (siaga) to level 2 (waspada) on 13th May 2012. Volcanic tremor decreased from the beginning of April until 13th May 2012. A 1 km exclusion zone remains around the crater lake. It is recommended that tourists and miners avoid the crater. More on Ijen volcano... Volcanoes of Indonesia... Friday 25th May 2012 Sirung Volcano, Indonesia A small ash eruption occurred at Sirung volcano Indonesia on 8th May 2012. The eruption lasted for 3 hours and was accompanied by a burst of sound and incandescent material ejected 10m above the crater. Ashfall occurred 3.5 km north of the volcano to a depth of 4mm. The smell of sulphur detected 3km north of the crater. On 12th May 2012 the alert status at Sirung volcano was raised from level 2 (waspada) to level 3 (siaga). A 2.5 km exclusion zone has been planed around the volcano. More on Sirung volcano... Volcanoes of Indonesia...